IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to
05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (06 Feb, 07
Feb, 08 Feb).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 659 km/s at 05/2036Z. Total IMF
reached 19 nT at 05/0226Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-16 nT at 05/0226Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 743 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (06 Feb), quiet to
active levels on day two (07 Feb) and quiet to minor storm levels on day
three (08 Feb). Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on days one,
two, and three (06 Feb, 07 Feb, 08 Feb).
