IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to
16/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (17 Sep, 18 Sep,
19 Sep).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 857 km/s at 16/0022Z. Total IMF
reached 6 nT at 15/2121Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-4 nT at 15/2321Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 3346 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (17 Sep), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (18 Sep) and quiet levels on day three (19 Sep).